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WAPA presents annual Southern Hemisphere apple and pear crop forecast

WAPA presents annual Southern Hemisphere apple and pear crop forecast
Photo: WAPA

The World Apple and Pear Association (WAPA) has released the Southern Hemisphere apple and pear crop production forecast for the upcoming season. According to the forecast, which consolidates the data from Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, New Zealand, and South Africa, apple production is estimated to increase by 6% in 2021 compared to the previous year, while pear production is projected to stabilise.

The World Apple and Pear Association (WAPA) has released its 2021 apple and pear crop estimate for the Southern Hemisphere. This report has been compiled with the support of ASOEX (Chile), CAFI (Argentina), ABPM (Brazil), Hortgro (South Africa), APAL (Australia) and New Zealand Apples and Pears, and therefore provides consolidated data from the six leading Southern Hemisphere countries. WAPA’s Secretary General Philippe Binard commented on the usefulness of gathering the insights from these major producers: “Elaborating this collective data has previously proved a valuable exercise for the global apple and pear industry and a reliable source of information when the season progressively shifts from the Northern to the Southern Hemisphere.”

Regarding apples, the aggregate Southern Hemisphere 2021 crop forecast  suggests an increase of 6% (5 million tons) compared to last year (4.8 million tons), with increases in Australia, Brazil, and South Africa of 23%, 20% and 6% respectively, a decrease in New Zealand of 5%, and stable figures in Argentina and Chile. The aggregate increased by 2% compared to the average of crops between 2018 and 2020. Chile remains the largest Southern Hemisphere apple producer in 2021 with 1.5 million tons, with Brazil in second place (1.1 million tons), followed by South Africa (1 million tons), Argentina (617 million tons), New Zealand (547 million tons), and Australia (271 million tons). 

Gala remains the main variety (39%), followed by Fuji (14%) and Red Delicious (13%). Export figures are estimated to stabilise at 1.7 million tons, with stable figures for Chile (650,000 tons), a 4% increase for South Africa (476,000 tons), and a 7% decrease for New Zealand (372,000 tons).Regarding pears, the Southern Hemisphere growers predict a stabilisation of the crop at 1.3 million tons and an increase of 2% compared to the overall average of years 2018-2020. The increase in South Africa, Australia, and Argentina of 3%, 2%, and 1% respectively are expected to compensate for the 3% and the 10% decrease in Chile and New Zealand. As in previous years, Packham’s Triumph and Williams BC/Bartlett are the major varieties, with 36% and 28% respectively. Forecasted export figures for pears are reported to increase by 6% compared to the previous year and reach 709,000 tons, with a 12% increase for Argentina (374,000 tons), a 2% increase for South Africa (214,000 tons), and a 3% decrease for Chile (108,000 tons).

 

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World Citrus Organisation (WCO) presents annual Southern Hemisphere production forecast

World Citrus Organisation (WCO) presents annual Southern Hemisphere production forecast
PRESS RELEASE

 

Following the formal adoption of the organisation’s Statutes in March 2020, the WCO Secretariat just collected and released the first crop production and export forecasts for the forthcoming Southern Hemisphere citrus season 2020. The preliminary forecast is collected from industry associations in Argentina, Australia, Chile, Peru, South Africa, and Uruguay. The Secretariat is working closely with Brazil and Bolivia to include their data as well into the forecast very shortly.

The preliminary forecast shows that the 2020 citrus Southern Hemisphere crops is expected to reach 8.387.341 T, which represents a small decrease of 3% compared to the 2019 crop. Export is expected to increase by 12% to 3.486.883 T, which could be explained as a result of consumers’ higher demand for citrus fruit in COVID-19 times, thanks to the nutritional benefits associated with citrus and more home consumption. On the processing side, a total of 2.426.154 T of citrus are expected to be destined to the juice market (pending the confirmation of Brazil’s data), which constitutes a decrease of 15% compared to 2019.

By citrus categories, the soft citrus and lemon & lime markets show stable figures, with similar production volumes compared to 2019, whereas orange showed a small decrease (-6%), and grapefruit production increased by 3 percent compared to the previous year. Expected export volumes show increases across all categories, with lemon & lime projecting the greatest increase, by 32% compared to 2019.

WCO is now fully operational with a complete agenda of activities for 2020. In July, a meeting of the membership will review the state of the industry and take stock of the latest consumer trends and producing countries’ experiences in the midst of the coronavirus crisis. Indeed, in the past months, citrus has been highlighted as one of the most attractive fruit categories for consumers, given their health properties. Consequently, the issue of nutrition and promotion of citrus consumption will also be discussed with members in the upcoming meeting.

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Positive year expected to New Zealand kiwi

Concerns over how to market bumper New Zealand kiwi crop 

With New Zealand’s kiwi harvest due to start soon, and run from early February to early April, a good crop is expected, according to the NZ Kiwiberry Grower Association. Thanks to favourable growing conditions, a good sized and good quality crop is anticipated. Export volume for this season is estimated at 240,000 kg, similar to the last campaign. The fruit is exported worldwide and enjoys great appreciation on the global stage. The main varieties grown in New Zealand are Tahi, Marju Red and Takaka.

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Outlook stable for EU F&V production

Flags_of_European_Union

The European Commission has published a report outlining its forecast for the region’s fruit and vegetable sector. While apple production area is expected to decrease, volumes are estimated to rise slightly in 2030 to 12 million tons (from 11.3 million tons in 2019) thanks to increasing yields. As for peaches and nectarines, increasing competition is predicted from other summer fruits, leading to a further fall in consumption. EU production is expected to remain stable at 4 million tons in 2030 (compared to 4.1 million tons in 2019). Similarly, orange (6.2 million tons) and tomato (7 million tons) production is expected to remain stable over the ten-year period. However, demand will increasingly shift from concentrates to fresh orange juice, while demand for processed tomatoes is projected to rise.

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Good Moroccan melon crop expected

Good Moroccan melon crop expected

Morocco’s 2019 melon crop is expected to be large and with good quality, despite a slight dip in surface area in Dakhla and late plantations, according to Medfel data. The harvest in this region is from late February to late April. Meanwhile, in Marrakech, the surfaces are stable but the proportion of crops grown in greenhouses is increasing at the expense of full field. Unlike last year, no delays are expected, with the first greenhouse crops around March 20th.

Planting in greenhouses took place in December, and exceptionally sunny and hot conditions continued up to March 25, when hail damage struck at the start of harvest. In the open field, planting took place in the first half of January, during a rather cold week. Very favourable growing conditions persisted until March 25, when heavy rains struck. Medium loads and large calibre have been obtained. The early harvest of Charentais yellow began on April 10, and the harvesting of Charentais green got underway on April 15-20.

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EU tomato consumption stagnant but value has soared

EU consumption of fresh tomatoes is set to remain stable or fall slightly. But the market for fresh tomatoes is characterised by strong segmentation into many different types and retail sales are increasing in value.

EU consumption of fresh tomatoes is set to remain stable or slightly decrease, with a steady net importing situation, according to the European Commission’s EU Agricultural Outlook.

But the market for fresh tomatoes is marked by strong segmentation into a large number of types of tomatoes with higher value added (in particular different miniature types, cherry and cocktail tomatoes), the report says.

And the “stagnating production trend in quantity coincides therefore with an increasing trend in value.”

According to Euromonitor data on retail sales, the volume of tomatoes sold by retailers in France, Germany, Italy and Spain rose 1% from 2006 to 2015 but by 18% in value.

Source: EU AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK Prospect for the EU agricultural markets and income 2016-2026, released December 2016

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EU apple production rising as demand falls

Imports of fresh apples decreased in the last 10 years and are not expected to recover, while exports, affected by the Russian ban since 2014, are striving to find new outlets on the world market and should continue to do so.

EU apple production is likely to increase in the future, particularly in Poland, while consumption of fresh apples per capita keeps on decreasing.

That is among the predictions in the European Commission’s EU Agricultural Outlook for 2016-2026.

The report says efforts are being made to limit the decreasing consumption of apples, such as promotion campaigns and the EU school fruit scheme.

“This implies that both net exports and use of apples for processing industries are expected to grow steadily in the coming decade following their current trends.

Imports of fresh apples decreased in the last 10 years and are not expected to recover, while exports, affected by the Russian ban since 2014, are striving to find new outlets on the world market and should continue to do so,” it also says.

Source: EU AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK Prospect for the EU agricultural markets and income 2016-2026. December 2016

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Rises in Spain’s strawberry, tomato crops

New estimates for Spain’s 2016 fruit and vegetable harvest show the total of tomatoes harvested over Jan 1-May 31 is forecast to be up 3.9% on last year, to more than 1.08 million tons, while the raspberry crop is expected to be 13.1% higher and that of strawberries is set to rise 7.9% to 342,700 tons.

Spain’s raspberry crop is expected to be 13.1% higher this year, relative to 2015, reaching 19,000 tons, while that of strawberries is set to rise 7.9% to 342,700 tons.

The latest – and very preliminary – estimates for Spain’s 2016 fruit and vegetable harvest from the Spanish Ministry of Agriculture, Food and the Environment (Magrama) – as at the end of April – also show that the total of tomatoes harvested Jan 1-May 31 is forecast to be up 3.9%, to more than 1.08 million tons, despite a 1.9% reduction in planted area.

source: Magrama: Avances Superficies y producciones de cultivos, April 2016

In the potato category, the very early crop is poised for a slight (1.6%) rise, to 105,700 tons, while the earlies crop slips 1%, to 415,300 tons, with similar variations in their relative planted areas.

As for onions, the babosa should rally 14.6% on last year, to 212,100 tons, according to the first estimates, and when it comes to mushrooms, the champignon (white button) crop is in line to come in 9% higher, at 132,700 tons, but the total for other mushrooms is tipped to decline by 3.5%, to 15,100 tons. The asparagus crop is forecast to grow by 8.6%, to 57,500 tons, and that of eggplant 5.3% to 259,700 tons.

source: Magrama

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World pear imports at lowest level in five years

Pears - Edited

Pear production up slightly on back of record crop in China

The Russian ban will dampen global pear trade in 2014/15, a year in which production is set to rise a modest 5% to more than 24.4 million tons. Total world pear imports are forecast to reach just under 1.47 million tons, the lowest level for the last five years and down 7.3% on 2013/14.

However Argentina – which should return to its position of number one pear exporter – is set for a good season, according to USDA projections. Its exports are forecast to grow 13% on 2013/14 to 430,000 tons, as greater supplies and the Russian ban enable it to expand its market share to Russia, one of its top markets. Favourable weather suggests Argentina’s production will rebound 20% to 820,000 tons, the USDA said in a report published in December.

Russia will remain the top importer, but with a likely 30% plunge to 275,000 tons due to the ban, which primarily affects the EU, and to a lesser extent the US. “Imports from other countries, such as Argentina and South Africa, are expected to only partially offset these losses,” the USDA said. Russian pear production is expected to rise 6% to 153,000 tons thanks to good weather.

Read more on page 99 of edition 135 of Eurofresh Distribution magazine.

 

 

 

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Russian ban spells shrinkage in apple trade

APPLES red - Edited

Global apple crop will also contract this year – to just under 71 million tons – despite bumper season in the EU, USDA projections show

Global trade in fresh apples is set to drop more than 5% in 2014/15, mainly due to Russia’s ban on fruit from certain countries, says the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). Indeed, Russian imports will likely plunge 27% on the previous marketing year, to 800,000 tons, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Services forecasts in its “Fresh Deciduous Fruit (Apples, Grapes, & Pears): World Markets and Trade” report.

Imports from other countries are not expected to replace these volumes due in part to the devaluation of the rouble, a slumping economy, and rising inflation in Russia, it said. EU apple imports are headed downwards, too. The USDA predicts a drop of 12% on last season, to 550,000 tons, “as increased output and the effect of the Russian ban saturate the domestic market.” And apple imports into the US are also predicted to slide, in this case by 11% to 190,000 tons.

Growth in Mexico, Canada, India, Brazil and China

But on the positive side, growth on 2013/14’s imports is expected in Mexico, Canada and India, with respective volumes of 260,000, 225,000 and 200,000 tons. The USDA data also shows Brazil’s apple imports (for which Argentina and Chile are usually the main suppliers) had a growth spurt from 94,000 tons in 2012/13 to 117,000 the next year and are expected to surge to 150,000 this marketing year as production in Brazil stays at about 1.33 million tons. And in China, apple imports are set to rebound to earlier levels – about 40,000 tons – thanks to higher domestic prices making imports more attractive and the re-opening of the market to Washington state apples.

Read more on page 93 of edition 135 of Eurofresh Distribution magazine.